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Identifying the likelihood of a specific event. Probabilistic forecasts capture the likelihood of rainfall being in a given tercile of the historical distribution. It allows the forecaster to identify shifts in the likelihood of events based on certain conditions.

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Rain

See also: Precipitation

Rain is water that falls in drops condensed from vapor in the atmosphere. Refer to this as precipitation, rather than rain.

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Rainfall

The amount of precipitation, usually measured by depth in millimeters.

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Rains

An area’s rainy season.